Posts

Removing Short-term Politics from the Budget.

 For far too long, many developed nations have faced poor allocation of their budget, with most reporting deficits for decades, leading to national debts to skyrocket, with the investors who help finance these budgets becoming weary that these bonds won't be paid off or worse, inflated away through increasing the money supply. The issue is not one that's even hidden; everyone who pays attention to these figures has been saying it for a long time. Our governments are too short-termistic. I have been reading Rationality by Pinker, and it had a really interesting section at the start of the book, which highlighted something to me. He brought up myopic preferences, which have implications on our whole financial system. He used examples from the famous Marshmallow experiment, where one is offered a marshmallow now or two in the future and raised the question of how far in the future the extra cost of a marshmallow would outweigh having the one now, or how many marshmallows would you...

A new Method to inflation

 For a long time, economists have been looking at the economy as an aggregate; total GDP, economy-wide price level changes, total debt spending and so on. But there has been an ideological shift away from this type of thinking, with Economic thinkers categorising people into different groups based on different measurements, as these people experience the same economy in different ways - this has been very apparent recently; where the working class (those reliant on salaries) have felt a strong squeeze while the capitalist class (those that own assets) have been abel to ride out this struggle with much less pain or even benefiting. With Gary Stevenson pushing heavily for more policy to help with inequality, which many economists are critical of due to it not fitting into the paradigm of the models they have become accustomed to, yet many can see the impacts and realities of what he is talking about. Even the FED has highlighted the fact that the K-shaped economy is of importance. Th...

Reliance of Housing as a Financial Instrument: How Britain Became Hostage to Property

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 The UK has developed an unhealthy relationship with housing, which has acted as a slow rot to the economy. This fixation on 'Productisation' of housing has had immense negative social costs to previous generations, but its impact has become debilitating, especially to those entering the workforce recently. Other nations do allow for housing ownership (as any good free market should), but the issue lies in the extent to which it has on household wealth. Houses have been lumped as something you sell on instead of what their key focus should be, which is to provide shelter, actively strangling the economy's vitality. Wealth Trapped in the Brick and Mortar We Laid The scale of Britain’s housing obsession is often traced back to the Right to Buy policy introduced under Margaret Thatcher, (yet another push toward privatisation that, while politically popular at the time, had profound long-term consequences for the housing market). Today, property dominates the balance sheets of ...

Social Media: Connection vs Consumption.

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 With the recent ban on social media for under-16s in Australia, there has been an uptick in discussion that has polarised people's viewpoints. Here, I will discuss the pros and cons that I have seen addressed, and also some personal issues I find with the policy and what I believe could be a helpful way to apply the policy if it were to come to the UK. To discuss the pros and cons, it is important to understand what influenced the government to come to such a swift decision. The book Anxious Generation, which outlines how smartphones have led to a negative health epidemic for younger children and how it has caused loneliness among them, was a leading spark in the debate. However, we have seen many other ideas spread recently, including the TV show Adolescence, which showed a more personal look into the damaging side effects of social media. The combination of all this media pushing against the early adoption of these services does raise the question, are they right, or is there so...

Much Ado About Nothing: How Politicians Focus on Improving Our Crumbs Instead of Making More Bread.

 There is a running theme in UK politics right now: the obsession with the small, the symbolic, the headline-grabbing, all at the expense of the structural problems quietly eroding the country’s foundations. Take the endless rows about culture-war topics. Ministers will happily spend days weighing in on statues, pronouns, or whether a BBC presenter has overstepped some imaginary line. These debates are cheap political fuel. They grab attention, rile up core voters, and dominate the news cycle. But while Westminster argues about flags and slogans, the structural questions that determine whether Britain prospers or stagnates are left unresolved. Housing is the clearest case study. For decades, governments have avoided the politically costly decision to reform planning and zoning. Instead, we get recycled schemes like Help to Buy, which inflated demand without addressing supply (I do see the benefit the scheme has had, however, it has very much shifted the cost onto the future like ...

A world reserve

 The global financial system rests on a striking reality: almost all countries rely on a currency they do not control. The US dollar is the world’s primary reserve currency, underpinning international trade, finance, and central bank reserves. From oil contracts to cross-border loans, the dollar dominates as the medium of global exchange. This arrangement brings a measure of stability; after all, the dollar is backed by deep US financial markets, strong institutions, and relative trust in the Federal Reserve. But it also creates vulnerabilities. A system where one nation’s currency is the foundation of global commerce means the economic choices of that nation ripple far beyond its borders. This can pose some risks, especially under the uncertainty of monetary policy in the country that holds the world's currency. With the Federal Reserve being threatened with losing its independence from government, it has shaken markets as members are being threatened with being fired for not com...

The corporate Ring of Gyges

 The philosophy of what makes us act virtuously has long been pondered by society. As far back as the ancient Greeks, Plato brought up a valuable insight into whether we would still do right even if we weren't accountable for our actions. In his thought experiment, he imagined a ring with the power to make its bearer invisible and thus immune to social ostracisation and consequences. This ring would devour its wearer with amoral thoughts and exacerbate their flaws and sins.  Now, what if you created a system that hid the decision-makers? A system where everyone is encouraged to let the power and greed corrupt them for their benefit. A system where liability is limited.  Thousands of companies exist, and I'm not going to be the one to completely unravel the current economic system, for it does have some amazing benefits; the fact I can publish this article at all comes from the backs of millions following the system for what it specialises in. I simply want you, by the end...